2009年6月8日 星期一

Opinions for newly-listed stocks in MSCI - Taiwan Stock Market

MSCI just added 22 Taiwan stocks. following are stock data(5/15), exclusive of OTC stocks and sorted by total market capitalization.

SymbolName5/15 market cap(B)5/15 foreign investor shares held weight(%)5/15 juridical persons Weight(%)2 days price shift(%)2 days foreign investor net buyer
5522Farglory Land Development51.1410.8211.5213.302219
3622Young Fast Optoelectronics47.8316.9620.7210.90-304
2607Evergreen Int'l Storage & Transport 32.922.247.6610.97 1835
2707Formosa International Hotels 31.0536.7241.716.93380
2385Chicony Electronics Co 29.39 20.0624.790.00 2064
2103

TSRC Corporation

26.0022.5131.972.04 5868
3702WPG Holdings Limited 25.2613.7618.695.16 2922
2344Winbond Electronics Corp 25.1913.2013.712.8611848
2362Clevo Company 24.8418.9521.821.45 3686
2384Wintek Corporation 24.518.7611.926.91 -293
9921Giant Manufacturing Co Ltd 23.9733.8736.59-1.46 2186
6005Capital Securities Corp 23.6011.8212.056.16 1627
2208CSBC Corporation, Taiwan23.051.152.568.132652
3443Global Unichip Corp 22.37 11.4617.34-2.46188
2377Micro-Star International 22.33 15.5916.260.67 5028
2915Ruentex Industries Limited 22.2415.8323.604.36 3370
2605Sincere Navigation Corporation 20.2339.4848.015.953286
2388VIA Technologies 19.502.872.922.03 1514
8299Phison Electronics Corp29.6433.2134.001.84-823
3227PixArt Imaging Inc35.573.4322.4410.68330
5371Coretronic Corporation 23.9216.0025.243.29 6249
6121Simplo Technology28.79 28.5141.72-0.72 892

Note:Price shift comes from ((15th close price/14th open price) -1) * 100%

1.Foreign investors will buy stocks with MSCI adjusting. Only index funds which follow MSCI index will sell. And the date to adjust their shares weight is 5/29. Other investors would begin to find arbitrage opportunity. Index funds will not adjust presently.

2.Foreign investors will buy in or sell out with MSCI adjusting. They do that for getting more return rate than reference index. It means that they can beat MSCI by choosing better performance stocks. One of those ways is buy a stock which doesn't exist in MSCI and it performs better than MSCI average. Or add the same stocks to the portfolio but add more weight for expecting better stocks.

3.How could an individual get more profit? More fast? Prophesy before news launch? Operate before EU/US markets opening. We need more thoughts to fight with foreign investors.

4.This time MSCI adjusting added stocks' total cap are about 20~35B TWD besides 5522, 3622. Those are not in front rank in MSCI. So those stock only weight less in Index Funds.

5.For getting market average profit, foreign investors will not buy a low weight stock too many. On the other hand If they held too much weight for a low weight stock in MSCI, they will sell the stocks to reduce weight. and vice versa.

6.Taiwan Stock Market is very important in IT supply chain. This time MSCI chose Chicony Electronics Co., Ltd( Taiwan biggest keyboard manufactor), WPG Holdings Limited(Taiwan biggest IC sales agent), Global Unichip Corp.(TSMC subsidiary for design service), Micro-Star International Co Ltd( good brand netbook supply vendor), Coretronic Corporation( Taiwan second biggest backlight modules), Simplo Technology Co., Ltd.(Lithium battery packs for notebook), Phison Electronics Corp.(biggest NAND control chip), PixArt Imaging Inc.( Nentendo wii IC supply). Those companies are notable in their domain and foreign investor held those high weight, they might not buy more.


7.Big 3 juridical persons held high weight, ex:Formosa International Hotels Corp,

China Synthetic Rubber Corporation

, Giant Manufacturing Co Ltd,

Sincere Navigation Corporation,They bought the shares enough then they will not buy those stocks more.


8.Notice to large daily volume after MSCI announce adjusting results, someone will try to sell out for earning other individual's bucks in chaos.

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